21st Century Cities and Architecture Need Possibilianism #sustainability #poptech

 

Have you heard of PopTech? Some say it’s TED for brainiacs, arguably more cutting edge, always looking for emerging thinkers. Andrew Zolli, lead curator, attended the same Futures Studies masters program in Houston I did (and where I teach), although our paths unfortunately never crossed.

PopTech is posting the best videos now; here’s one worth watching.   

   

Cowboy up or geek out?

The annual PopTech event was held in Camden, Maine last week. Neuroscientist and fiction writer David Eagleman gave one of those rare “don’t miss” talks about a notion he’s devised called: Possibilianism. Rather than simply “anything goes,” he says that science allows for any possibility that can be proven using the scientific method. In other words, we need to think of many alternative hypotheses and then apply the tools.

Approach ideas with an open mind. Rather than firmly committing to a single answer or “cowboy up” with a certain solution, we engage in active exploration. For the largest questions in the universe like dark matter and how the brain works, we don’t even have any good answers yet. So we need to “geek-out” until we have the needed data. Be comfortable to multiple possibilities. That’s what he means by possibilianism.

In short: Praise uncertainty.

I think it’s very clear that we made mistakes on cities and building design. We use too much energy, overheated the planet, and created cities of haves and have-nots where some parts are nearly unlivable and others are sadly ugly, lacking beauty or lovability. Plus sitting all day at work and in cars makes us unhealthy. That’s not to say all cities or all parts of cities fit this image but let’s face it, it’s enough that we need to make some serious changes.

Think about it: What else could we have done?

We need a heavy dose of possibilianism.

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Here’s a wild thought: What would happen if tomorrow you woke up and your car was gone? Your neighbors’ cars and the pickup trucks were missing too. There were no taxis, only large-haul trucks and delivery vehicles too busy to carry passengers. Boom, you were caught with your feet and an old bike as transportation. What would you do?

I bet you would call into work and say you couldn’t make it. You would cancel all other appointments and walk your kids to school. Soon you would be taking the bus or rail and walking or riding your bike for shorter trips. Delivery trucks would replenish your kitchen pantry.

Over time, you would become physically fit, your wallet would be a little thicker with cash, and you would know people that share your routes. Plus, since transportation emits 28% of greenhouse gases, cities would immediately experience an impressive leap in sustainability. 

Cars are so deeply embedded it’s truly a challenge to imagine car-free lives, isn’t it?!

Car-fee cities

0_freiburg

We don’t start completely from scratch. Several urban theories and their flagship examples lead the way on car restrictions, specifically,

CarFree Cities, New urbanism, Eco-towns in UK, and to some degree, the Slow City Movement

Many sections of cities and islands, most famously Venice Italy, are fully pedestrian.

  • Freiburg Germany (pictured) reclaimed the center of the city for pedestrian uses.
  • Curitiba Brazil created one of the most efficient networks of buses (BRT) in the world.
  • Bogota Colombia employed a combination of BRT, bike paths, and pedestrians-first policies.

A few new towns will be zero carbon, reduced-car developments for environmental purposes.


0_tongzhou

No doubt, we will not go gently into that good night of car-free cities. Too much has been invested, particularly in America and in perimeter development globally, China being the most eager recent adopter. Cars have the obvious benefits of convenience and security, and have long been status symbols (now not having a car shows status among some groups).

Plus, honestly, given an open road, cars are a blast! Dont all addictions begin with pleasure?

Two options – with and without cars – is bogus!

If we’ve learned one thing from the crazy world we live in, it’s that choices are not black and white, either/or; they are both/and. An entire constellation of possibilities waits for our imagination to ignite.

My car-free fantasy is a game of “what if,” a thought experiment played to its extreme. Imagine the possibilities, what would that option solve and what would it destroy?

That’s where possibilianism leaps in.

If you were designing a brand new city for you and your loved ones or making radical changes to your city, what would you choose? How would you create vibrant, thrilling, beautiful places to live? What would be your criteria? How many options can you imagine?

How would that new place be better than how you live now? How do you envision your better life? And how can you bring some of those possibilities into your real life?

Think about it: Are you a possibilian?

Piano_new_caladonia_evening

Related lists: “Green cities: Where to travel green” compiles 6 lists of top green cities.

Images:EPA Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Sector;Freiburg Germany;Tongzhou China,Tjibaou Cultural Center in Noumea, New Caladonia by Renzo Piano Workshop

 

Comments

  1. ericgarland says:

    The automobile was a great technology for 1910. Not as clever for 2010. Sooner we figure that out, the better.

  2. Cindy Frewen Wuellner, phd, faia says:

    Eric, so true. 100 yrs ago, cities had polluted air, water, ground. streets filled with horses and manure, took till the 70s to pass the clean water act. Cars had to be a huge relief, get out of all that. little did we know!

  3. LorneDaniel says:

    This is a great perspective on the future of cities and cars. The solution to congestion, pollution & energy depletion will have to be multi-faceted. We do need some creative, slightly risky, leadership to create environments that entice people to forget / fore-go the many benefits they receive from private cars.

  4. Cindy Frewen Wuellner, phd, faia says:

    Lorne: thanks so much for your commendation. As you say, leadership and imagination are the first steps. We need credible alternatives; cars have been uniquely powerful in squelching all other takers (not accidentally, it was and still is one of the most successful campaigns in history.) I am not sure anyone saw completely what the results would be. but it’s time to rethink it.

  5. Randy Sovich says:

    Cindy: Great post and timely. A good friend of mine just got back from Poptech and was telling how great it was this year. Thanks for linking the video. For me the car/no car debate is parallel to the God/no-god debate. I enjoy walkable cities AND I love the freedom of getting out on the road and exploring new places.

  6. Cindy Frewen Wuellner, phd, faia says:

    Randy, we try to make things so simple and really draw lines in the sand. We have to avoid either/or polarizations to keep options open and conversations alive. I’m outing the car debate in hopes of moving beyond it, after all, buildings and single use zoning are equally faulty, and I would say, the 8-5 synchronized work habits. Business and our design/planning made this happen, unintentionally. time for new ways.

  7. Randy Sovich says:

    We are in a new world-recognize it or not. Live/work/school–how to piece together into a single vision of a city? There is no one solution to fit all. How do all of the possibilities coexist? 

  8. Cindy Frewen Wuellner, phd, faia says:

    Randy: every place is different, yes? no two cities or neighborhoods are exactly alike, plenty of space for many options, experiments. I drafted a blog post of places to see the future of cities and got up to 30-40 cities – too many for most people, altho maybe not us! have to cluster and post them a little at a time. a very complicated topic as you say. no magic silver bullet. and I think that’s a good problem to have, don’t you?

  9. Randy Sovich says:

    Lots of possibilities. I’m looking forward to the Urbanverse future of citiesCollection. Maybe a ‘Collage City’ could be generated from your selections?  

  10. Cindy Frewen Wuellner, phd, faia says:

    oddly, or coincidentally, had something along those lines going through my mind today too. must be in the air… thanks for the thought Randy!

  11. koniczech says:

    I think the sustainability aspect of applying Possibianism to Architecture comes across as unsupported. Since it is obvious that the green movement is not the only change that needs to be applied to 21st c. planning, we should look into an application of what Margaret Crawford calls the “everyday urbanism,” where we can embrace uncertainty in the uses of cities. With this, maybe the idea of cars/no-cars/some-cars can come into play, but also we can delve into the ideas of office life, city productivity quotas, ‘inhumane’ forced-use spaces for recreation, etc. Please let me know your thoughts on related topics such as the Non-Plan, Everyday Urbanism, and ambiguity in architecture. Thanks,koniczech

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