Have you heard of PopTech? Some say it’s TED for brainiacs, arguably more cutting edge, always looking for emerging thinkers. Andrew Zolli, lead curator, attended the same Futures Studies masters program in Houston I did (and where I teach), although our paths unfortunately never crossed.
PopTech is posting the best videos now; here’s one worth watching.
Cowboy up or geek out?
The annual PopTech event was held in Camden, Maine last week. Neuroscientist and fiction writer David Eagleman gave one of those rare “don’t miss” talks about a notion he’s devised called: Possibilianism. Rather than simply “anything goes,” he says that science allows for any possibility that can be proven using the scientific method. In other words, we need to think of many alternative hypotheses and then apply the tools.
Approach ideas with an open mind. Rather than firmly committing to a single answer or “cowboy up” with a certain solution, we engage in active exploration. For the largest questions in the universe like dark matter and how the brain works, we don’t even have any good answers yet. So we need to “geek-out” until we have the needed data. Be comfortable to multiple possibilities. That’s what he means by possibilianism.
In short: Praise uncertainty.
I think it’s very clear that we made mistakes on cities and building design. We use too much energy, overheated the planet, and created cities of haves and have-nots where some parts are nearly unlivable and others are sadly ugly, lacking beauty or lovability. Plus sitting all day at work and in cars makes us unhealthy. That’s not to say all cities or all parts of cities fit this image but let’s face it, it’s enough that we need to make some serious changes.
Think about it: What else could we have done?
We need a heavy dose of possibilianism.
Here’s a wild thought: What would happen if tomorrow you woke up and your car was gone? Your neighbors’ cars and the pickup trucks were missing too. There were no taxis, only large-haul trucks and delivery vehicles too busy to carry passengers. Boom, you were caught with your feet and an old bike as transportation. What would you do?
I bet you would call into work and say you couldn’t make it. You would cancel all other appointments and walk your kids to school. Soon you would be taking the bus or rail and walking or riding your bike for shorter trips. Delivery trucks would replenish your kitchen pantry.
Over time, you would become physically fit, your wallet would be a little thicker with cash, and you would know people that share your routes. Plus, since transportation emits 28% of greenhouse gases, cities would immediately experience an impressive leap in sustainability.
Cars are so deeply embedded it’s truly a challenge to imagine car-free lives, isn’t it?!
We don’t start completely from scratch. Several urban theories and their flagship examples lead the way on car restrictions, specifically,
Many sections of cities and islands, most famously Venice Italy, are fully pedestrian.
Freiburg Germany (pictured) reclaimed the center of the city for pedestrian uses.
Curitiba Brazil created one of the most efficient networks of buses (BRT) in the world.
Bogota Colombia employed a combination of BRT, bike paths, and pedestrians-first policies.
A few new towns will be zero carbon, reduced-car developments for environmental purposes.
Masdar UAE is now under construction as a clean tech city outside Abu Dhabi.
No doubt, we will not go gently into that good night of car-free cities. Too much has been invested, particularly in America and in perimeter development globally, China being the most eager recent adopter. Cars have the obvious benefits of convenience and security, and have long been status symbols (now not having a car shows status among some groups).
Plus, honestly, given an open road, cars are a blast! Don’t all addictions begin with pleasure?
Two options – with and without cars – is bogus!
If we’ve learned one thing from the crazy world we live in, it’s that choices are not black and white, either/or; they are both/and. An entire constellation of possibilities waits for our imagination to ignite.
My car-free fantasy is a game of “what if,” a thought experiment played to its extreme. Imagine the possibilities, what would that option solve and what would it destroy?
That’s where possibilianism leaps in.
If you were designing a brand new city for you and your loved ones or making radical changes to your city, what would you choose? How would you create vibrant, thrilling, beautiful places to live? What would be your criteria? How many options can you imagine?
How would that new place be better than how you live now? How do you envision your better life? And how can you bring some of those possibilities into your real life?
Think about it: Are you a possibilian?
Related lists: “Green cities: Where to travel green” compiles 6 lists of top green cities.